A RealtyTrac housing market analysis compared building permit data released by the U.S. Department of Housing (HUD) for the first quarter to foreclosure starts for the same time period. RealtyTrac looked at the national, state and city level.
“Nationwide and in most markets, it appears builders are planning to ramp up activity that will help offset a drop in foreclosure starts, but there are some markets where a jump in both building permits and foreclosure starts in the first quarter indicate the scales will tip more heavily in favor of supply of homes for sale in the coming months – both new homes and foreclosures,” says Daren Blomquist, vice president at RealtyTrac.
“On the other extreme there are some markets where both building permits and foreclosure starts are down dramatically, indicating that there will be no reprieve from the shortage of homes for sale in those markets in the near future.”
First quarter findings
• Nationwide, single-family building permits increased 27 percent from a year ago – the highest first-quarter total since 2008. Meanwhile, U.S. foreclosure starts decreased the same amount, 27 percent, to the lowest quarterly level since the second quarter of 2006.
• The majority of building permits in the first quarter were for single-family homes (64 percent of total permits), followed by 5+ unit multi-family properties (33 percent). Overall, multi-family building permits increased 23 percent from a year ago.
• States with the most single family building permits in the first quarter were Texas, Florida, North Carolina, California and Georgia, all of which posted double-digit percentage increases from a year ago.
• All these top states also posted decreasing foreclosure starts from a year ago, although Florida foreclosure starts were down just 1 percent.
• States where both single family building permits and foreclosure starts increased from a year ago included Nevada, Washington, New Jersey, Maryland and New York.
• Cities with the most single family building permits in the first quarter were Houston, Oklahoma City, Austin, El Paso and Fort Worth. Of these top five, all except for Austin posted decreasing foreclosure starts during the same time period. Austin foreclosure starts increased 19 percent.
• Cities with the most foreclosure starts in the first quarter were Miami, Las Vegas, Chicago, Fort Lauderdale and Orlando, with Las Vegas, Fort Lauderdale and Orlando posting increases in foreclosure starts from a year ago. All five cities posted increases in single-family building permits from a year ago.
• Cities where both single family building permits and foreclosure starts increased at least 10 percent from a year ago in the first quarter included Las Vegas, Seattle, Raleigh, N.C., Reno, Nevada, and Boca Raton.
• Cities where both single family building permits and foreclosure starts decreased from a year ago in the first quarter included San Antonio, Albuquerque, Fresno, Bakersfield (both in California) and Greensboro, N.C.
• RealtyTrac posted a chart of 19 U.S. cities with “the most for-sale inventory coming.” In Florida, Delray Beach ranked No. 1, with Boca Raton at No. 16 and Ocoee at No. 19.
© 2013 Florida Realtors®
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